Manski [2004] analyzes the relationship between the distribution of traders’ beliefs and the equilibrium price in a prediction market with risk neutral traders. He finds that there can be a substantial difference between the mean belief that an event will occur, and the price of an asset that...

In environments with no commitment and with a need for intertemporal trade, bounded recall is shown to be a sufficient friction for a receipt system (fiat money) to lead to improved allocations in an otherwise frictionless Walrasian model. The absence of other frictions makes price determination...

Edgeworth exchange is the fundamental general equilibrium model, yet equilibrium predications and theories of price adjustment for this model remain untested. This paper reports an experimental test of Edgeworth exchange which demonstrates that prices and allocations converge sharply to the...

TAC-02 was the third in a series of Trading Agent Competition events fostering research in automating trading strategies by showcasing alternate approaches in an open-invitation market game. TAC presents a challenging travel-shopping scenario where agents must satisfy client preferences for...

Uncertainty represented by volatilities in equity markets has been observed to be time-variable and lead output fluctuations. In the rational expectation framework, uncertainty with this nature needs exogenous variables with time-varying volatilities, but technology, tastes and fiscal and...

A model of capital service is constructed on stylized consumer behaviour and the total quantity of financial resources. The demand for money becomes a function of the wage rate under agreement as well as interests rates and overall economic activity.

This paper considers a two-country world where the population in one country grows faster than the other, and investigates the implications of the addition of non-stationary population dynamics to a simple 2- commodity, 2-factor model of international trade within an overlapping- generations...

An overlapping generations model with two production factors and two types of agents is considered in presence of …nancial intermediation. The research focuses at the analysis of the consequences of a suddain negative production shock on a …nancial intermediation capacities and consequently...

The paper focuses on a comparison of bank-based andmarket-based …nancial systems with respect to their ability to smooth the negative consequences of a macroeconomic shock. The model describes a two-market OLG economy with two types of agents (workers and entrepreneurs) and a financial system...

The paper examines a new possibility of output gaps in an economy without any rigidity. The driving force behind the new possibility is non-cooperative behavior of consumers. The paper shows that there is a possibility that when a fundamental shock hits an economy this non- cooperative nature...