Municipalities financial distress (which we refer as financial vulnerability) is a recurrent concern of French political life. However, there is no universal and unique definition of financial distress. This paper presents a synthesis of some possible definitions and display the real importance...

This paper proposes a model of how agents adjust their asset holdings in response to losses in general equilibrium. By emphasising the relation between deflation and financial distress, we capture some original features of the early debt-deflation literature, such as distress selling,...

Is it always wise to disclose good news? When both the sender and the receiver have private information about the sender's quality, we find that the worst sender type with good news has the most incentive to disclose it, so reporting good news can paradoxically make the sender look bad. If the...

This paper presents an equilibrium model of industry dynamics and capital structure decisions. The unique stationary equilibrium is derived in closed-form. The analysis reveals that the interaction between capital structure and production decisions influences the stationary distribution of...

This article values equity and corporate debt by taking into account the fact that in practice the default point differs from the liquidation point and that it might be in the creditors' interest to delay liquidation. The article develops a continuous time asset pricing model of debt...

A Central Counterparty (CCP) is an entity that interposes itself between transacting counterparties – a seller vis-à-vis the original buyer and a buyer vis-àvis the original seller – to quarantee execution of the transaction. Thus, the original transacting parties substitute their...

Die Prognose, ob ein Unternehmen fortbestehen wird oder nicht, hat weitreichende Konsequenzen für Eigentümer, Gläubiger und Arbeitnehmer der Gesellschaft. In Abhängigkeit von dem Prognoseergebnis sind das Vermögen und die Schulden in der Bilanz und in einem etwaigen Überschuldungsstatus...

We extend the credit risk valuation framework introduced by Gatfaoui (2003) to stochastic volatility models. We state a general setting for valuing risky debt in the light of systematic risk and idiosyncratic risk, which are known to affect each risky asset in the financial market. The option...

This working paper aims at improving the comparability of forecast quality measures of insolvency prediction studies. For this purpose, in a first step commonly used accuracy measures for categorial, ordinal and cardinal insolvency predictions are presented. It will be argued, that ordinal...