Showing 1 - 10 of 54
El tema de la inflación ha sido uno de los más debatidos en los últimos meses. Los incrementos de precios registrados en el primer trimestre de 2005 han avivado la discusión. Este trabajo muestra que el problema está lejos de estar fuera de control y que determinadas medidas de política...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076625
zero. The paper shows that declining nominal prices were a rather common phenomenon during this period of low or no … inflation. The declining prices cannot, however, be explained by lack of demand or any generalized deflationary tendencies …. Hence, the downward rigidity of nominal prices has not prevented relative price adjustments under price stability. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412660
SINCE 1930, EXPECTATIONS HAVE PLAYED AN IMPORTANT ROLE IN ECONOMIC THEORY AND THIS IS BECAUSE ECONOMICS IS GENERALLY CONCERNED WITH THE IMPLICATIONS OF CURRENT ACTIONS FOR THE FUTURE. THIS PAPER THEREFORE ARGUES THAT THE DEVELOPMENT OF RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS THEORY WILL MAKE A MORE SIGNIFICANT...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412739
This study formalizes and empirically tests the conjecture that the discovery of large silver reserves in its American colonies triggered in Spain a phenomenon known as the Dutch disease,diverting factors of production to non-traded goods industries and undermining the Spanishcomparative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556872
This paper reviews the existing empirical evidence on the short-term impact on prices of fiscal variables and assesses … Commission and the OECD models. Overall, a broad consensus appears on the impact on prices of changes in individual government … limited impact on prices in the first year while, in contrast, changes in indirect taxes and employers’ social security …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561299
This study examines the forecastability of ASEAN-5 stock market returns using linear and non-linear time series models. Time series models with GARCH errors are also considered. Based on formal econometrics tests, this study shows that the behaviour of these returns do not follow random walk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076958
, price-earnings (P/E) still showed a significant overvaluation of equity prices when compared to the historical average over …) stock prices was reached, the real S&P 500 exceeded the upper band of the 95 p.c. confidence intervals during both periods …. For each of them, the Q model showed earlier and more persistent signals of significant overvaluation of stock prices than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125064
The aim of this paper is to develop and apply Neural Network (NN) models in order to forecast regional employment patterns in Germany. NNs are statistical tools based on learning algorithms with a distribution over a large amount of quantitative data. NNs are increasingly deployed in the social...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134566
This paper examines the forecasting performance of GARCH’s models used with agricultural commodities data. We compare … different possible sources of forecasting improvement, using various statistical distributions and models. We have chosen to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134650
ratio when forecasting long-run returns. The empirical results for the S&P 500 show the superiority of our approach to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134659