Showing 1 - 10 of 137
This paper develops a method to estimate jointly the degree of (possibly incomplete) intertemporal consumption … improves upon studies that either examine only intertemporal consumption smoothing, or analyze risksharing by making an extreme … assumption on intertemporal consumption smoothing, or by adopting a purely empirical framework. The method is applied to the US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124955
Just when China’s leaders receive conflicting signals of “overheating” and “below-potential growth”, they encounter tremendous external pressure to revalue the Renminbi (RMB) substantially. Our conclusion is that the major macroeconomic challenges have their roots in China’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062405
This paper makes three contributions: First, I construct annual time series of gross domestic investment and national saving in the U.S. for the 1897–1949 period using historical component series. I compare the qualitative and quantitative properties of the newly constructed series with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408170
change in asset or portfolio return affects household’s consumption growth, using a sample of households from the Consumer … Expenditure Survey. Since changes in housing return can affect consumption of households over time, we investigate whether the … affects consumption growth, and housing is an important asset to account for in the household portfolio. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126248
’s consumption growth. The estimates obtained using real after-tax composite return are about 0.15-0.3 and are more robust to linear … and nonlinear estimations, different consumption measures, and various time periods than those obtained by using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126444
The consumer has been on a tightrope since the bursting of the "new economy" bubble, as losses in equity markets have been partly offset by gains in real estate and fiscal support and mortgage refinancing have partly offset increased consumer cautiousness. The consumer will remain on a tightrope...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408134
1982-2003. To this end, standard consumption equations are estimated and then compared, in terms of in-sample and out … about the i) current, ii) future, iii) general, and iv) personal situation. In turn, the total private consumption is … household surveys improves both the goodness- of-fit of consumption equations and their forecasting performances. It is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412574
analytical solution to the model, we solve it numerically. We find that nondurable consumption becomes more volatile as down … adjustment of consumption to permanent income shocks in an attempt by agents to spread out the burden of down payments over time. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561071
that in a habit formation model, the sensitivity of consumption to predicted income can be largely reinterpreted as a … sluggish response to news. Moreover, the sensitivity of consumption to sentiment reflects the serial correlation in consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561179
future consumption and savings. . Although the motion of the consumer confidence index is of interest to both policymakers … consumption expenditure of Hungarian households. Our results suggest that, in addition to macro variables, the consumer confidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561813