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Bad for Euroland, Worse for Germany-The ECB's Record
Bibow, Jorg - EconWPA - 2005
This paper assesses the contribution of the European Central Bank (ECB) to Germany’s ongoing economic crisis, a vicious circle of decline in which the country has become stuck since the early 1990s. It is argued that the ECB continues the Bundesbank tradition of asymmetric policymaking: the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412611
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The monetary approach to exchange rates in the CEECs
Crespo-Cuaresma, Jesús; Fidrmuc, Jarko; McDonald, Ronald - EconWPA - 2004
A panel data set for six Central and Eastern European countries (the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia) is used to estimate the monetary exchange rate model with panel cointegration methods, including the Pooled Mean Group estimator, the Fully Modified Least Square...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561077
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Purchasing power parity: an empirical study of three EMU countries
Duarte, António Portugal - EconWPA - 2005
We apply Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) theory to the analysis of long- run equilibrium in the foreign exchange market. We study the case of Portugal vis-à-vis Germany and Spain, and the case of Spain vis-à-vis Germany, in the period 1960-1990. The empirical analysis was based on unit-root...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124909
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Trade Balance and Exchange-Rate for a Small Open Economy during the EMS: The Hellenic Case 1983:1-1995:12
Theodoros, Stamatopoulos - EconWPA - 2005
We are interested on assessing the effectiveness of the Bank of Greece (BoG) exchange rate policy, to achieve the objective of adjusting balance of payments des-equilibrium, during the period 1983:1-1995:12. The traditional theory of the balance of payments adjustment process through exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408156
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Purchasing power parity: an empirical study of three EMU countries
Duarte, António Portugal - EconWPA - 2005
We apply Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) theory to the analysis of long- run equilibrium in the foreign exchange market. We study the case of Portugal vis-à-vis Germany and Spain, and the case of Spain vis-à-vis Germany, in the period 1960-1990. The empirical analysis was based on unit-root...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408164
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Is There A Trade-Off Between Inflation Variability And Output-Gap Variability in The EMU Countries?
Arestis, Philip; Mouratidis, Kostas - EconWPA - 2003
the introduction of an implicit inflation- targeting by the EMU member countries after the Maastricht Treaty changed the …This paper examines two issues. First, we compare, based on the ratio of output-gap variability to inflation … variability, the monetary policy performance of eleven EMU countries for the whole period of the EMS. Second, we examine whether …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561291
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Instability in Exchange Rates of the World Leading Currencies: Implications of a Spatial Competition Model among Central Banks (Currencies, Competition, and Clans)
Engelmann, Dirk; Hanousek, Jan; Kocenda, Evzen - EconWPA - 2004
We use a spatial competition based model in a two-stage game setup to assess whether equilibrium in exchange rates among the leading currencies is attainable. We show that a stable equilibrium can be reached in the case of two leading currencies, but not in the case of three. In our model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561175
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Revisiting the Interest Rate-Exchange Rate Nexus: A Markov Switching Approach
Chen, Shiu-Sheng - EconWPA - 2003
In this paper the interest rate-exchange rate nexus and the effectiveness of interest rate defence are investigated theoretically and empirically. We construct a simple theoretical model by incorporating Taylor rule in the model proposed by Jeanne and Rose (2002). Mixing the macroeconomic theory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062695
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Regime Shifts and the Stability of Backward Looking Phillips Curves in Open Economies
Castelnuovo, Efrem - EconWPA - 2005
In this paper we assess the stability of open economy backward-looking Phillips curves estimated over two different exchange rate regimes. The pseudo-data employed in our econometric exercise come from the simulation of a New-Keynesian hybrid model suited for performing monetary policy analysis....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076797
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The Changing Role of the Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate for Japanese Monetary Policy
Schnabl, Gunther; Danne, Christian - EconWPA - 2005
This paper studies the role of the yen/dollar exchange rate in the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy reaction function. In contrast to prior estimations of reaction functions based on the Taylor-rule, we allow for regime shifts by estimating rolling coefficients from January 1974 to March 1999....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119427