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Many attempts to increase civic competence are based on premises about communication and belief change that are directly contradicted by important insights from microeconomic theory and social psychology. At least two economic literatures are relevant to my effort to improve matters. One is the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125964
the help of econometric models. Agents use least squares learning to estimate two competing models of which one is … consistent with rational expectations once learning is complete. When past performance governs the choice of forecast model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126229
The New Keynesian model with rational expectations unrealistically predicts that unanticipated credible changes in the inflation target lead to an immediate jump in the inflation level while the output gap is unaffected. We set up a theoretical model where agents learn the behaviour of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126243
This paper considers the relationship between agent-based modeling and economic decision-making experiments with human subjects. Both approaches exploit controlled ``laboratory'' conditions as a means of isolating the sources of aggregate phenomena. Research findings from laboratory studies of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134584
purification with recent results from the rational learning literature. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407541
Reinforcement learning has proved quite successful in predicting subjects' adjustment behaviour in repeatedly played … simple games. However, reinforcement learning does not predict convergence to the efficient cell in the minimal information … learning rule, a modification of win-stay lose-change, does predict convergence. We perform an experiment using modern economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407543
, (ii) the resulting efficiency loss, and (iii) the adjustment of the learning rule. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407575
number of standard learning algorithms. The learning theories are (unbeknown to subjects) a best response process, fictitious … play, imitation, reinforcement learning, and a trial & error process. We test whether subjects try to influence those … and that all learning algorithms are subject to exploitation with the notable exception of imitation. The experiment was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407609
This paper aims at analysing the effects of learning on the individual behaviour in an experiment that requires … apply them also in other situations) and propose new hypothesis. Learning is not only based on a mechanical repetition of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407620
(active learning model), negative initial size effects that fall with age but stay permanently negative (passive learning … the active learning model, the effect of initial size is significantly negative for a young firm and falls to zero with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407957