Under suitable regularity conditions, an improved score test was derived by Cordeiro and Ferrari (1991). The test is based on a corrected score statistic which has a chi-squared distribution to order 1/n under the null hypothesis, where n is the sample size. In this paper we follow their...

In this paper we derive a general closed-form expression for the Bartlett correction for the test of H_0: \theta= \theta**(0), where "theta is a scalar parameter of a one-parameter exponential family model. Our results are general enough to cover many important and commonly used distributions....

Leveraging the explicit formula for European swaptions and coupon-bond options in HJM one-factor model, we develop a semi-explicit formula for 2-Bermudan options (also called Canary options). We first extend the European swaption formula to future times. We are able to reduce the valuation of a...

We present an explicit formula for European options on coupon bearing bonds and swaptions in the Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) one factor model with non-stochastic volatility. The formula extends the Jamshidian formula for zero-coupon bonds. We provide also an explicit way to compute the hedging...

A careful examination of interest rate time series from different U.S. Treasury maturities by Wavelet Multiresolution Analysis (MRA) suggests that the first differences of the term structure of interest rate series are periodic or, at least, cyclic, non-stationary, long-term dependent, in...

Dynamic term structure models (DTSMs) price interest rate derivatives based on the model­ implied fair values of the yield curve, ignoring any pricing residuals on the yield curve that are either from model approximations or market imperfections. In contrast, option pricing in practice often...

We investigate whether the same finite dimensional dynamic system spans both interest rates (the yield curve) and interest rate options (the implied volatility surface). We find that the options market exhibits factors independent of the underlying yield curve. While three common factors are...

Expected inflation is a major decision factor of various economic agents. Since expected inflation is not directly observable, economists have been seeking ways of extracting market’s inflation expectations from observable variables. One of the most reliable sources of inflation expectations...

This paper contains a statistical description of the whole U.S. forward rate curve (FRC), based on data from the period 1990-1996. We find that the average deviation of the FRC from the spot rate grows as the square- root of the maturity, with a proportionality constant which is comparable to...

This paper considers a class of Heath-Jarrow-Morton (1992) term structure models, characterized by time deterministic volatilities for the instantaneous forward rate. The bias that arises from using observed futures yields as a proxy for the unobserved instantaneous forward rate is analyzed. The...