Showing 1 - 10 of 222
This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker’s disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations - agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561182
This paper integrates imposing a factor structure on residuals in vector autoregressions (VARs) into structural VAR analysis. Identification, estimation and testing procedures are discussed. The paper applies this approach to the well-known problem of studying the effects of monetary policy in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126128
The paper offers a new explanation for the cause of the Great Inflation by constructing a model that explicitly … separates the roles of government and monetary policymakers. A mechanism that inflation can accelerate even if an inflation … target is low is uncovered. The model solves the puzzle of the observed high inflation target during the Great Inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124998
This paper analyses the role of inflation expectations in the euro area. On one hand, the question is how inflation … expectations affect both inflation and output, and, on the other hand, how inflation expectations reflect developments in these … variables. The analyses make use of a simple VAR model of inflation, inflation expectations and the output gap that allows for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126316
reducing inflation from three-digit annual rates in the 1990s to single-digit territory in 2004. The paper also discusses the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126474
of the two. We compare the accounting definition of deficit with the economic definition which takes inflation into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412564
results in more persistent inflation as well as output responses to shocks, than without the supply-side channel. We also … discuss the different monetary and fiscal policy regimes and their implication on the stability of inflation and output. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412694
to customers. A model shows that the cost- push effect of inflation, long known as Gibson’s paradox, intensifies … of interest rates with inflation or the log of the price level is present in data from the 1950s to present. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412732
This paper shows the way how persistent world inflation shocks hitting a small open economy can re-weight the … inflation. We derive a state-dependent Phillips curve based on translog preferences that make the elasticity of substitution of … disinflation on domestic inflation, as experienced in small open economies such as New Zealand, Chile and Peru. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412737
stance, before and after its adoption of the inflation targeting framework, as revealed by its interest rate setting behavior … inflation by and large through its key policy rate, though it appears to be accommodative with respect to the output gap. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561255