Showing 1 - 10 of 385
also assesses the performances of different and complementary “recession models” based on Markovian processes : the “Pooled … reading of the business cycle through, a favored recession model and concludes about leading and “real time detection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119146
We estimate output growth rate spectra for 58 countries. The spectra exhibit diverse shapes. To study the sources of this diversity, we estimate the short-run, business cycle, and long-run frequency components of the sampled series. For most OECD countries the bulk of the spectral mass is in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126132
Standard stochastic growth models provide theoretical restrictions on output decomposition which can be used to investigate whether productivity shocks played a major role in observed business cycles. Applying these restrictions to US data leads to the following findings: i) Business cycles...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126346
Theoretical studies have shown that under unorthodox assumptions on preferences and production technologies, collateral constraints can act as a powerful amplification and propagation mechanism of exogenous shocks. We investigate whether or not this result hold under more standard assumptions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126224
This paper studies the role of collateral constraints in transforming small monetary shocks into large persistent output fluctuations. We do this by introducing money in the heterogeneous-agent real economy of Kiyotaki and Moore (1997). Money enters in a cash-in-advance constraint and is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126270
Using a recently introduced nonparametric test, I investigate two important and distinct asymmetries in cross-country quarterly macroeconomic time series. Asymmetries are suggested by many theories (old and new), and those discovered aid in the selection of the appropriate nonlinear time series...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412800
This paper introduces an upgraded version of MSVARlib, a Gauss and Ox- Gauss compliant library, focusing on Multivariate Markov Switching Regressions in their most general specification. This new set of procedures allows to estimate, through classical optimization methods, models belonging to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407938
the American Industrial production and a new stochastic coincident indicator of a recession for the US economy, following …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556349
and assesses the performances of different and complementary “recession models” based on Markovian processes, discusses … such as the Dynamic Factor with Markov Switching (DFMS) model or Stock and Watson’s Experimental Recession Index seem not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119173
This paper discusses techniques for estimating structural vector autoregressions. Especially when monetary policy shocks are estimated, VAR residuals turn out to be leptokurtic. It is argued that this is no coincidence but follows directly from the properties of monetary policy decisions. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119183