The predictive capability of a modification of Rissanen's accumulated prediction error (APE) criterion, APE$_{\delta_{n}}$,is investigated in infinite-order autoregressive (AR($\infty$)) models. Instead of accumulating squares of sequential prediction errors from the beginning,...

We analyze competitive pressures in a sequence of auctions with a growing number of bidders, in a model that includes private and common valuations as special cases. We show that the key determinant of bidders' surplus (and implicitly auction revenue) is how the goods are distributed. In any...