Showing 1 - 10 of 357
The EU accession countries have made remarkable progress in developing their financial sectors. Nevertheless, potential risks to banking sector stability remain. We take stock of these risks, with a focus on the challenges posed by the EU accession process. Important potential risks we identify...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126335
This paper extends the work of Kaminsky and Schmukler (2003) to the Baltic and Central Eastern European future Member States of the European Union, to test if the same short-run increase in cyclical volatility arising from financial integration is observed in this specific sample of “emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062709
This paper compares alternative estimates of systemic time-varying excess returns for the Irish pound and the Spanish peseta, against the German mark, since 1985. We make use of progressively more complex models, going from the GARCH in Mean specification, to the International Capital Asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119436
This paper investigates the main sources of instability in Brazil during the currency and financial distress episode of 2002. We test for financial contagion from the Argentine crisis and the impact of factors including IMF intervention and political uncertainty in raising the probability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125532
debt and chooses to default when it is optimal to do so. The possibility of default induces an endogenous sovereign risk … premium on foreign debt and an endogenous rationing limit set by foreign creditors. The model is parameterized and solved … on its foreign debt and the ability to account for the Sudden Stop of capital inflows. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408167
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408199
This paper describes the Federal Reserve's analytical framework under Volcker and Greenspan, as it was constructed in the early 1980s, during a period of high inflation. It traces the modeling and policy implications of this framework. It discusses the Fed's actual track record and the state of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076785
This paper provides an overview of central banking arrangements in those European countries that have adopted the euro … framework,” operating procedures, and actual performance since the euro’s launch in 1999. The analysis concludes that, given the … current macroeconomic policy regime, trends, and practices, the euro is on track for failure. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126453
have had even worse results for Germany. Fragility and divergence undermine the euro’s long-term survival. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412611
Challenging the conventional wisdom that structural problems are to blame for the euro area’s protracted domestic … and inflation persistence that owes to the ECB’s failure to internalize the euro area’s fiscal regime. This raises the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412615