advantage in the conflict or that the joint production process exhibits increasing returns. Nor is there any presumption that …, the formation of alliances tends to reduce the severity of the conflict over the contestable resource. Furthermore …, despite the internal conflict that arises among the winning alliance’s members over the distribution of their joint product …

dependence upon primary commodity exports and a large diaspora substantially increase the risk of conflict. Inconsistent with the … grievance theory, greater ethnic and religious diversity reduce the risk of conflict. The results are robust to correction for …

Recent studies emphasize the occurrence of conflict as a rational economic activity as well as production and exchange … terms of economic utility and in terms of peace than in ^Qcontinuing conflict^R and ^Qobstructed trade^R scenarios. …

This paper considers a partial equilibrium model of conflict where two asymmetric, rational and risk-neutral opponents … conflict in order to appropriate a positive fraction of a stake. An institutional constraint is modelled through an exogenously … conflicting agents are willing to commit themselves to ease the conflict joining an institutional setting they do not ‘disarm …

made in eight conflict situations. These were difficult forecasting problems; the 32% accuracy of the unaided experts was …

forecast outcomes in conflict situations. I first define what is meant here by conflict situations. Next, I describe …