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Forecasting Regional Employment in Germany by Means of Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithms

Patuelli, Roberto; Longhi, Simonetta; Reggiani, Aura; … - EconWPA - 2005

The aim of this paper is to develop and apply Neural Network (NN) models in order to forecast regional employment patterns in Germany. NNs are statistical tools based on learning algorithms with a distribution over a large amount of quantitative data. NNs are increasingly deployed in the social...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134566

Can the human mind learn to backward induce? A neural network answer.

Spiliopoulos, Leonidas - EconWPA - 2005

This paper addresses the question of whether neural networks, a realistic cognitive model of the human information processing, can learn to backward induce in a two stage game with a unique subgame-perfect Nash Equilibrium. The result that the neural networks only learn a heuristic that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062328

Consistent Model Specification Tests Against Smooth Transition Alternatives

Hill, Jonathan B. - EconWPA - 2004

In this paper we develop tests of functional form that are consistent against a class of nonlinear "smooth transition" models of the conditional mean. Our method is an extension of the consistent model specification tests developed by Bierens (1990), de Jong (1996) and Bierens and Ploberger...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556316

SOM-based Data Analysis of Speculative Attacks' Real Effects

Rueda, Ismael E Arciniegas; Arciniegas, Fabio - EconWPA - 2005

In some cases, currency crises are followed by strong recessions (e.g., recent Asian and Argentinean crises), but in other cases they are not. This paper uses Self-Organizing Maps (SOM) to search for meaningful associations between speculative attacks' real effects and 28 variables that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556651

Economic Growth as a Nonlinear and Discontinuous Process

Abbasi-Nejad, Hossein; Motavasseli, Mahmoud; Mohammadi, … - EconWPA - 2005

Structural changes were the main focus of many studies in recent years. Changes which alter the socio-economic status of a nation from deprived and traditional nature to a developed and modern one. The main hypothesis of this study is that, the economic development does not occur through a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407960

Multicriteria Analysis of Neural Network Forecasting Models: An Application to German Regional Labour Markets

Patuelli, Roberto; Longhi, Simonetta; Reggiani, Aura; … - EconWPA - 2005

-econometric techniques based on learning mechanisms, with a view to analysing and forecasting regional labour markets. The aim of this paper …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125575

Minería de datos y lógica difusa.Una aplicación al estudio de la rentabilidad económica de las empresas agroalimentarias en Andalucía

Díaz, Bárbara; Morillas, Antonio - EconWPA - 2005

En este trabajo se estudia la rentabilidad de la empresa agroalimentaria en Andalucía (España)mediante un conjunto de ratios, elaborados por el Instituto de Estadística de Andalucía a partir de la Central de Balances de Actividades Empresariales de Andalucía. El objeto es encontrar las...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125615

Forecasting the demand for an employee Park and Ride service using commuters’ stated choices.

Hole, Arne Risa - EconWPA - 2003

This paper uses Stated Choice (SC) data to forecast the demand for an employee Park and Ride service. Since it is well known that SC data contain sources of variation not present in Revealed Preference (RP) data we pay special attention to the scaling of the SC model. The results show that the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005118998

Assessing Forecast Performance in a VEC Model: An Empirical Examination

Zacharias, Bragoudakis - EconWPA - 2005

This paper is an exercise in applied macroeconomic forecasting. We examine the forecasting power of a vector error … expenditure as suggested by the economic theory. We compare the estimated forecasting values of the endogenous variables to the …, Forecasting, Simulation Analysis, Vector error- correction models JEL Classifications: C15, C32, C53, E0, E6 Working Paper Series …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119198

‘‘MOVING MEDIAN’’ A NEW METHOD OF FORECASTING

Giovanis, Eleftherios - EconWPA - 2005

For hundred years the future was occupying the persons. The ancient Greeks, the Romans, the Egyptians, the Indians, the Chinese and other great ancient cultures, but also the modern, as the English, Germans and the Americans and with the help of the development of technology and computers they...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119209