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likelihood and MCMC methods are employed to draw from the posterior distribution. The main finding is that the real interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407891
In this paper we consider bayesian semiparametric regression within the generalized linear model framework. Specifically, we study a class of autoregressive time series where the time trend is incorporated in a nonparametrically way. Estimation and inference where performed through Markov Chain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407984
This paper examines the Malaysian foreign exchange market efficiency for the USD, Singapore dollar, pound, and yen over the 1980:1-1994:12 period by utilizing Johansen-Juselius (JJ) Maximum Likelihood procedure. The bivariate cointegration results show the absence of cointegration among the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124939
Recently there has been a growing tendency to impose curvature, but not monotonicity, on specifications of technology. But regularity requires satisfaction of both curvature and monotonicity conditions. Without both satisfied, the second order conditions for optimizing behavior fail and duality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062564
In specifications of tastes and technology, econometricians often impose curvature globally, but monotonicity only locally or not at all. In fact monotonicity rarely is even mentioned in that literature. But without satisfaction of both curvature and monotonicity, the second order conditions for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556257
This is the front matter from the book, William A. Barnett and Jane Binner (eds.), Functional Structure and Approximation in Econometrics, published in 2004 by Elsevier in its Contributions to Economic Analysis monograph series. The front matter includes the Table of Contents, Volume...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119212
We proposed clear, methodologically sound framework for analyzing SVAR with priors on impulse responses. We showed it poses no difficulties in deriving the posterior which even in case of unidentified SVAR with flat prior on impulse functions (under the appropriate requirement tying number of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062544
The structural vector autoregression (SVAR) has become a central tool for research in empirical macroeconomics. Because the vast majority of these models are exactly identified, researchers have traditionally relied upon the informal use of prior information to compare alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556303
A welfare analysis of a risky policy is impossible within a linear or linearized model and its certainty equivalence property. The presented algorithms are designed as a toolbox for a general model class. The computational challenges are considerable and I concentrate on the numerics and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556708
This paper develops a Bayesian vector autoregressive model(BVAR) for the leader of the Portuguese car market to forecast the market share. The model includes five marketing decision variables.The Bayesian prior is selected on the basis of the accuracy of the out-of-sample forecasts. We find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119163