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This paper examines data for stock prices and price levels of 14 developed countries during the post-WWII era and compares their behavior in that sample with behavior over the past two centuries in the UK and the US. Contrary to much of the literature of the past several decades, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124935
This paper gives an overview of some issues related to market aluation, focusing on the developments on the New York equity markets. The 42.4 p.c. fall in the S&P 500 price index between 24 March 2000 - when it reached its all-time high - and 31 December 2002 is situated in a very long term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125064
This paper investigates the nature of the causal relationship between stock prices and effective exchange rates in four old EU-member countries (Austria, France, Germany, and the UK), four new EU-member countries (Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia) and in the USA. Both the long-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134673
The business media play an active role in influencing stock prices. Statistically significant excess returns at the time of the publication of stock recommendations have been documented many times. Frequently these abnormal gains begin to accumulate long before the publication date. In most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134740
Using Granger (1969), Sim (1972) and Geweke et al. (1982) causality tests, this study finds a feedback causal relationship between exchange rate and stock price in Malaysia, whereas a unidirectional causal relationship running from exchange rate to stock price in Thailand. The stock markets of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556595
This paper examines data for stock prices and price levels of 14 developed countries during the post-WWII era and compares their behavior in that sample with behavior over the past two centuries in the UK and the US. Contrary to much of the literature of the past several decades, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556635
respect to determinacy, stability under learning and optimality. We first review the recent literature. Open-loop interest … determinacy and stability under learning, and implements optimal policy. We then show that Friedman’s rule also can generate … equilibria that are determinate and stable under learning. However, in computing the mean quadratic welfare loss, we find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126422
This paper demonstrates that the adaptive learning approach to modelling private sector expectations can be used as an … the two rational expectations equilibria is stable under least-squares learning, and that it is always the low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125682
rational expectations even if time-varying but stationary term premia are allowed for. A hypothesis of rational learning about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412568
uncertainty and learning. We find that the presence of a strategic interaction between the home and foreign central banks creates … an additional motivation for caution in monetary policy. An activist policy designed to help the learning of the home … central bank is suboptimal since it generates a strong reaction from the foreign central bank. As joint learning by the home …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561306