We consider how judgment and statistical methods should be integrated for time-series forecasting. Our review of … judgment; combining forecasts; revising extrapolations; rule-based forecasting; and econometric forecasting. This literature … the future as well as for the past, we recommend rule- based forecasting or econometric methods. …

This paper investigates the usefulness of Italian consumer surveys as estimation and forecasting tool over the period … household surveys improves both the goodness- of-fit of consumption equations and their forecasting performances. It is …

book. I keep this book near me when working on surveys, and I suspect it will have a strong influence on survey research … happened? Both Dr. X and I had been influenced by Dillman’s Mail and Telephone Surveys. Despite its flaws, it is a worthwhile …

and to supply missing information. Application of the five-step procedure to the issue of return postage in mail surveys …

Public opinion surveys conducted since 1977 in Japan are usually interpreted as showing decreasing support among the … take proper account of the changing levels of ODA funding over time to demonstrate that changing survey response rates … decades. We do this by reverse engineering survey results to derive the Japanese population’s preference distribution for ODA …

surveys about the nomination of Clarence Thomas. In this situation, prior theory allowed us to predict the direction of … changes, surveys had been conducted by a number of organizations, and substantial information was available about the … methodology used in the surveys. As a result we concluded that the deteriorating opinions of Thomas were real. …

strong positive impact on the response rate in mail surveys. One of these studies is described here and an attempt is made to … generalizations should be of value for the design of mail survey studies. …

This paper is an exercise in applied macroeconomic forecasting. We examine the forecasting power of a vector error … expenditure as suggested by the economic theory. We compare the estimated forecasting values of the endogenous variables to the …, Forecasting, Simulation Analysis, Vector error- correction models JEL Classifications: C15, C32, C53, E0, E6 Working Paper Series …

future, as in the meteorology, in the seismology, in the statistics, in the administration, in the economy. Human was always …