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Do probit models help in forecasting turning points of German business cycles?
Fritsche, Ulrich - EconWPA - 2001
in the probit model the fact that the economy is already in a state of recession must be controlled for. The results of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076772
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Une lecture probabiliste du cycle d’affaires américain
Bellone, Benoit - EconWPA - 2004
also assesses the performances of different and complementary “recession models” based on Markovian processes : the “Pooled … reading of the business cycle through, a favored recession model and concludes about leading and “real time detection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119146
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Do Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises Stabilize Employment? Theoretical Considerations and Evidence from Germany
Fendel, Ralf; Frenkel, Michael - EconWPA - 1996
enterprises in a recession. This implies that small and medium-sized enterprises stabilize economy-wide employment. However, up to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005135008
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The Dynamic Beveridge Curve
Fujita, Shigeru; Ramey, Garey - EconWPA - 2005
both the vacancy- unemployment ratio and employment. We show that the standard version of the Mortensen-Pissarides matching …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561342
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The Measurement of Persistence and Hysteresis in Aggregate Unemployment.
Mikhail, Ossama; Eberwein, Curtis J.; Handa, Jagdish - EconWPA - 2003
unemployment persistence. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126077
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Sticky prices, fair wages, and the co-movements of unemployment and labor productivity growth
Tripier, Fabien - EconWPA - 2005
This paper studies the co-movements of unemployment and labor productivity growth for the U.S. economy. Measures of co …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126134
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Classical Estimation of Multivariate Markov-Switching Models using MSVARlib
BELLONE, BENOIT - EconWPA - 2005
-linear reading of the american unemployment rate. A second study is focused on coincident stochastic models of US recessions and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407938
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Effects of Business Cycles on Labour Market Assimilation of Immigrants
Aydemir, Abdurrahman - EconWPA - 2003
This study addresses the effects of macroeconomic conditions on the labour market outcomes of immigrants. It simultaneously identifies the separate effects of macro conditions at the time of entry to the labour market and at the time of the survey, while allowing for cohort effects. Also, for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408346
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Effects of Business Cycles on Labour Market Assimilation of Immigrants
Aydemir, Abdurrahman - EconWPA - 2003
This study addresses the effects of macroeconomic conditions on the labour market outcomes of immigrants. It simultaneously identifies the separate effects of macro conditions at the time of entry to the labour market and at the time of the survey, while allowing for cohort effects. Also, for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408360
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Leading Indicators of Euroland Business Cycles
Fritsche, Ulrich; Marklein, Felix - EconWPA - 2001
The introduction of a common monetary policy in eleven European countries increased the need for leading indicators for that area. A reliable leading indicator should possess the following properties: (1) The movements in the indicator series should resemble those in the business cycle reference...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076700