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-known market phenomena: the heavy tails observed in the distribution of stock market returns on one hand and 'herding' behavior in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134800
/or failing to assess correctly the quality of their private signal. We evaluate the impact of the considered bias on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134796
If investors have limited attention, then accounting outcomes that saliently highlight positive aspects of a firm's performance will promote high market valuations. When cumulative accounting value added (net operating income) over time outstrips cumulative cash value added (free cash flow), it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134858
In our model, informed players decide whether or not to disclose, and observers allocate attention among disclosed signals, and toward reasoning through the implications of a failure to disclose. In equilibrium disclosure is incomplete, and observers are unrealistically optimistic. Nevertheless,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407521
We propose a theory based on investor overconfidence and biased self- attribution to explain several of the securities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413234
Professional experts offer advice with the objective of appearing well informed. Their ability is evaluated on the basis of the advice given and the realized state of the world. We model this situation as a reputational cheap-talk game with continuous signal, state, and ability type spaces....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005550867
We offer a model in which sequences of individuals often converge upon poor decisions and are prone to fads, despite being able to communicate both past payoff outcomes and the private signals underlying past choices. This reflects direct and indirect action-based informational externalities;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005550929
Recently, the theory of informational cascades has been tested in an experiment by Anderson and Holt (1997) who report … that their data support the theory amazingly well. In this note we report on an experiment designed to find out whether …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556678
The recent literature on informational cascades has nurtured the impression that cascades can occur only if the action space is coarser than the signal space. In particular, it is sometimes claimed that with continuous action spaces cascades are impossible. In this note we present a simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005118606
We study the effects of unequal representation in the interest-group system on the degree of information transmission between a lobbyist and a policymaker. Employing a dynamic cheap-talk model in which the lobbyist cares instrumentally about his reputation for truthtelling, we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076613