We consider how judgment and statistical methods should be integrated for time-series forecasting. Our review of … judgment; combining forecasts; revising extrapolations; rule-based forecasting; and econometric forecasting. This literature … the future as well as for the past, we recommend rule- based forecasting or econometric methods. …

the economic theory. Infringements (breaches, modifications, changes, etc.) of arrangements are common and have a … significant importance for the economic theory. For many years now the arrangement infringements have lacked appropriate attention … in the economic theory. This fact caused a number of theoretical and practical problems. In order to solve them a new …

infringements. It gives promises for both solving fundamental problems of economic theory and creation of new directions and fields … application of the approach in relation to bank deposits, investments, business projects and international activities such as …

A man is a key subject of economics and economic theory. “A man is irrational” - this opinion can be made from Allais … paradox, risk aversion and other well-known fundamental problems. For a long time, this opinion was a barrier to proper … solution of these problems and the development of the economic theory. A radically new approach has been proposed. It considers …

are, according to the discount dividend model, annual earnings and, according to Q-theory, net worth. In December 2002 …

This paper examines the forecasting performance of GARCH’s models used with agricultural commodities data. We compare … different possible sources of forecasting improvement, using various statistical distributions and models. We have chosen to …

ratio when forecasting long-run returns. The empirical results for the S&P 500 show the superiority of our approach to …