PROBLEM SOLVING OF FORECASTING ON SHORT PERIODS IN THE CASE OF TRANSITIONAL STRUCTURE-CHANGING CHARACTER OF DEVELOPMENT …

Implications of nonlinearity, nonstationarity and misspecification are considered from a forecasting perspective. My … techniques lead to spurious forecasts. Improvements of the forecast accuracy are possible with properly chosen nonlinear …

Those making environmental decisions must not only characterize the present, they must also forecast the future. They … its probable success given future trends and its impacts on the human and natural environment. Forecasting, by which I …

In forecasting demand for expensive consumer goods, direct questioning of potential consumers about their future … forecast demand for proposed products or services must determine some way to convey product information to the potential …

Research on forecasting is extensive and includes many studies that have tested alternative methods in order to … determine which ones are most effective. We review this evidence in order to provide guidelines for forecasting for marketing …, extrapolation, rule-based forecasting, expert systems, and econometric methods. We discuss research about which methods are most …

the commitment of International Journal of Forecasting to replication research. In addition the study examines procedures … forecasting methods. On the negative side, FHMM does not fully describe the conditions under which one might expect a given …