Showing 1 - 10 of 159
achieve robustness against incomplete information about the structure of the economy by distorting their expectations in a … particular direction. It shows how a linear rational expectations equilibrium under concern for robustness can be solved by … responses of private consumption to government expenditure shocks under robust expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125627
This paper analyses the role of inflation expectations in the euro area. On one hand, the question is how inflation … expectations affect both inflation and output, and, on the other hand, how inflation expectations reflect developments in these … variables. The analyses make use of a simple VAR model of inflation, inflation expectations and the output gap that allows for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126316
rational expectations. This paper relaxes the assumption of rational expectations and it allows for learning instead. Economic … agents form expectations from simple models and update the parameters through constant-gain learning. I estimate the model by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126467
Can a strategy of targeting macro projections be the only guide for monetary policy actions, or could it cause macroeconomic instability in the face of imprecise information? The paper examines how the precision of the indicators affects determinacy in a model with partial information and an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412861
This paper analyzes how imperfect exchange rate pass-through affects the transmission of the CPI inflation targeting optimal monetary policy. In the short run, delayed pass-through constraints monetary policy more than incomplete pass-through and interest rate smoothing amplifies this effect. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126184
expectations scenario, where all individuals believe that inflation converges to a long run low level. Introducing expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126273
Monetary policy has been usually analyzed in the context of small macroeconomic models where central banks are allowed to exploit a limited amount of information. Under these frameworks, researchers typically derive the optimality of aggressive monetary rules, contrasting with the observed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412848
Should one think of zero nominal interest rates as an undesirable liquidity trap or as the desirable Friedman rule? I use three different frameworks to discuss this issue. First, I restate Cole and Kocherlakota's (1998) analysis of Friedman's rule: short run increases in the money stock -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561156
. Hayek's theory, not Keynes's, allows us to say when markets will behave in the way Keynes described and when they will … instead behave in more coordinated ways. In this sense, a Hayekian theory is needed to understand a Keynesian world. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076652
adaptive expectations and partial adjustment mechanisms. The paper demonstrates the difficulty of interpreting distributed lag …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076678