Showing 1 - 10 of 67
This paper examines the forecasting performance of GARCH’s models used with agricultural commodities data. We compare … containing a genuine stock index also. The implied goal is to find out if the GARCH models are more fitted for stock indices than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134650
return and volatility equations. When using the GARCH (1,1) specification only for the return equation and the Modified-GARCH … (1,1) specification for both the return and volatility equations, findings indicate that the day of the week effect is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413108
Volatility of financial markets is an important topic for academics, policy makers and market participants. In this … these specifications. Then assuming that the squared returns are the benchmark estimate for actual volatility of the day, I … compare all of the models with respect to how much efficient they are to mimic the realized volatility. At the same time I …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556286
conjectured, GARCH effects play an important role in some sectors but are not significant in others. Astonishingly, the volatility …This paper addresses the question if there are differences between time patterns in the volatility of investment across … different industrial sectors. A competitive partial-equilibrium model with quadratic adjustment costs in investment and a GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561184
I use numerical methods to test for the presence of one-time structural breaks in the conditional variance of nominal interest rate spreads in four European countries over a period of eleven years (Jan 1988 to Dec 1998). I start with an intuitive approach consisting of a sequence of breakpoint...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407994
In this paper we investigate the factors contributing to the fall in the Lerner Index (price-cost margin) in the British electricity market during the 90s. A first stage of our analysis models the number of breaks in the Lerner Index and their dating as unknowns. Our results suggest the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412900
This paper challenges the commonly used unit root/cointegration approach for testing the Fisher effect for the economies of the G7 countries. We first prove that nominal interest and inflation rate can be better represented as being broken trend stationary variables. Later, we use the Bai-Perron...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556324
In the paper we extend Gregory and Hansen’s (1996)ADF, Za, Zt cointegration tests to panel data, using the method proposed in Maddala and Wu (1999). We test the null hypothesis of no cointegration for all the units in the panel against the alternative hypothesis of cointegration, while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119193
. Time series models with GARCH errors are also considered. Based on formal econometrics tests, this study shows that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076958
original empirical time series, but also with the simulated results from the corresponding Brownian Motion and GARCH processes … wavelet scalograms, we demonstrate that the MMAR outperforms both the GBM and GARCH(1,1) in time-frequency comparisons, in … attributes of the empirical distributions, while the simulated GBM and GARCH(1,1) processes cannot preserve the thick-tails, high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005077018