In this paper, Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling methods are exploited to provide a unified, practical likelihood-based framework for the analysis of stochastic volatility models. A highly effective method is developed that samples all the unobserved volatilities at once using an approximating...

This paper presents a flexible functional form called third-order translog, which includes higher-order terms, to estimate systems of budget-share equations using Canadian crosssectional micro-data. We test the statistical significance of the third-order terms, and also test regularity...

Foreign exchange rates can be subject to considerable daily fluctuations (up to 5 percent within one day). This can, in certain cases, cause serious losses on open overnight positions. Given a maximum tolerable loss for a company, limits have to be set on open overnight positions in foreign...

A theoretical model of inflationary dynamics in Ecuador is specified for the pre-dollarization period when the sucre was still the official currency. Parameter estimation is carried out using a battery of time series techniques. Monthly data from January 1964 to December 1994 are used in the...

The scaling properties encompass in a simple analysis many of the volatility characteristics of financial markets. That is why we use them to probe the different degree of markets development. We empirically study the scaling properties of daily Foreign Exchange rates, Stock Market indices and...

Border region electric utility service loads are impacted by national, regional, and international business cycles. To examine whether the cross-border components of these interactions can be reliably assessed, transfer ARIMA models are estimated for three business rate categories in El Paso,...

This study examines the impact of telecommuting on passenger vehicle- miles traveled (VMT) through a multivariate time series analysis of aggregate nationwide data spanning 1966-1999 for all variables except telecommuting, and 1988-1998 for telecommuting. The analysis was conducted in two...

In this work the P* model is used to analyze and forecast the inflation rate in the economy of Puerto Rico. This model is based on two essential points: the first one is to identify the inflationary potential of an economic system through the estimation of the price level to which the inflation...

A time series analysis of the Shanghai and New York Stock Exchange composite price indices is provided to compare the weekly rates of return and volatilities of these two markets and to study their co-movement in 1992-2002. The rate of return and volatility of the Shanghai market were higher....

Similar to merchandise trade flows, commuter traffic between international metropolitan areas respond to changes in exchange rates. This paper examines the impact of currency variations on monthly frequency cross border commuter flows between El Paso, Texas and Ciudad Juarez, Mexico. The sample...