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Manski [2004] analyzes the relationship between the distribution of traders’ beliefs and the equilibrium price in a prediction market with risk neutral traders. He finds that there can be a substantial difference between the mean belief that an event will occur, and the price of an asset that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005135086
experiment sessions fit the Geometric Mean model better than the Hahn process, and in addition, the Geometric Mean model provides …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005077054
This paper considers bidding automata programmed by experienced subjects in sequential first price sealed bid auction experiments. These automata play against each other in computer tournaments. The risk neutral subgame perfect Nash equilibrium strategy of the independent private value model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124959
The recent literature suggests that people have social preferences with a self-serving bias. Our data analysis reveals that the stylized fact of declining cooperation in repeated public goods experiments results from this bias and adaptation.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125603
learning rule, a modification of win-stay lose-change, does predict convergence. We perform an experiment using modern economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407543
In this paper, we experimentally investigate the extended game with action commitment of Hamilton and Slutsky (1990). In their duopoly game, firms can choose their quantities in one of two periods before the market clears. If a firm commits to a quantity in period 1 it does not know whether the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408230
The Hayek Hypothesis holds that prices contain enough information to direct the resources in the economy to their most efficient use. In a series of experiments, Vernon Smith [1987] found that with the right trading institutions, a market with agents that know only their own valuations of a good...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408233
. Automated buyers are similar. Across experiment sessions we vary the exponential distribution parameters of automated sellers … profile of types present in each experiment session. This econometric model demonstrates that (1) human buyers outperform …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413252
This article reports the results of a market experiment designed to test the predictions of the constant relative risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556692
One of the most striking results in experimental economics is the ease with which market bubbles form in a laboratory … in this direction is warranted. Market bubbles outside of the laboratory usually are found in markets in with forward and … avoid bubbles. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125589