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Using a recently introduced nonparametric test, I investigate two important and distinct asymmetries in cross-country quarterly macroeconomic time series. Asymmetries are suggested by many theories (old and new), and those discovered aid in the selection of the appropriate nonlinear time series...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412800
The paper offers a new explanation for the cause of the Great Inflation by constructing a model that explicitly … separates the roles of government and monetary policymakers. A mechanism that inflation can accelerate even if an inflation … target is low is uncovered. The model solves the puzzle of the observed high inflation target during the Great Inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124998
This paper analyses the role of inflation expectations in the euro area. On one hand, the question is how inflation … expectations affect both inflation and output, and, on the other hand, how inflation expectations reflect developments in these … variables. The analyses make use of a simple VAR model of inflation, inflation expectations and the output gap that allows for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126316
of the two. We compare the accounting definition of deficit with the economic definition which takes inflation into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412564
results in more persistent inflation as well as output responses to shocks, than without the supply-side channel. We also … discuss the different monetary and fiscal policy regimes and their implication on the stability of inflation and output. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412694
This paper shows the way how persistent world inflation shocks hitting a small open economy can re-weight the … inflation. We derive a state-dependent Phillips curve based on translog preferences that make the elasticity of substitution of … disinflation on domestic inflation, as experienced in small open economies such as New Zealand, Chile and Peru. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412737
This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker’s disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations - agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561182
This paper discusses the econometric model of inflation processes in the Republic of Belarus which makes it possible to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561160
This paper considers a sticky price model with a cash-in-advance constraint where agents forecast inflation rates with …. While average output and inflation result the same as under rational expectations, higher moments differ substantially …: output and inflation show persistence, inflation responds sluggishly to nominal disturbances, and the dynamic correlations of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126229
modest short-run output gains, greater excess demand pressures, noticeably higher CPI inflation rates over the whole of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412749