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adequately captured by the cointegration and error- correction models. Income and interest rate elasticities are found to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126361
and cointegration. The ECM models seem appropriate as the dynamics of both short-run (changes) and (long- run levels … Correction, Cointegration, long run and elasticities, forecasting ability. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412864
-2003. Tests for Unit Roots and Cointegration are carried out and it is discovered that a long run equilibrium relationship between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556400
This paper investigates the nature of the causal relationship between stock prices and effective exchange rates in four old EU-member countries (Austria, France, Germany, and the UK), four new EU-member countries (Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia) and in the USA. Both the long-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134673
In this paper we propose an empirical model to decompose the evolution of the agricultural GDP share of Taiwan into three components: price changes, factor endowment changes and technological change. The full sample period is 1967 to 1997. The data were first tested to assess whether the time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407731
This paper re-examines the effects of inflation and exchange rate uncertainty on real economic activity. The existent literature has treated both issues as separate subject matters. It has emphasized either the issue of inflation uncertainty or exchange rate uncertainty on economic growth or on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125542
The paper tests whether there were events of contagion, and portfolio shift, in the sovereign bond markets of eleven emerging countries' between January 1995 and November 2001. From existing definitions, we narrow down the concept of contagion by focusing on pricing errors, after general market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125554
Although recet research has repeatedly found a negative association between investment and socio-political instability (SPI), the existence and direction of causality between these two variables has not yet been investigated. We construct an index of SPI for non-overlaping five-years periods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407747
We are interested on assessing the effectiveness of the Bank of Greece (BoG) exchange rate policy, to achieve the objective of adjusting balance of payments des-equilibrium, during the period 1983:1-1995:12. The traditional theory of the balance of payments adjustment process through exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408156
treasury bond interest return and inflation were analysed. We applied cointegration test for cointegration analysis and a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412643