Showing 1 - 10 of 90
This paper analyses the role of inflation expectations in the euro area. On one hand, the question is how inflation … expectations affect both inflation and output, and, on the other hand, how inflation expectations reflect developments in these … variables. The analyses make use of a simple VAR model of inflation, inflation expectations and the output gap that allows for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126316
This paper shows the way how persistent world inflation shocks hitting a small open economy can re-weight the … inflation. We derive a state-dependent Phillips curve based on translog preferences that make the elasticity of substitution of … disinflation on domestic inflation, as experienced in small open economies such as New Zealand, Chile and Peru. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412737
Here I describe the dynamical model of a “pure” inflationary process and give a model-based definition of the inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126293
This paper studies the forward premium puzzle in an environment where private agents do not perfectly observe the shocks that drive monetary policy. Private agents optimally update their conditional expectations by means of the Kalman filter. The transition dynamics associated with Kalman...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125504
This paper extends Svensson and Woodford’s (2003) partial information framework by allowing the private agents to achieve robustness against incomplete information about the structure of the economy by distorting their expectations in a particular direction. It shows how a linear rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125627
We consider linear dynamic models with rational expectations in case of incomplete and asymmetric information as well as agents heterogeneity. This problem requires solving infinite dimensional matrix equations. We propose asymptotic expansion method to reduce this problem to the finite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561129
consumers perceive the contrary. The data indicate that consumers based their perceptions about inflation on goods that are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119445
A pure exchange economy with a financial market is studied where aggregate dividends are modeled as a diffusion. The dynamics of the diffusion are allowed to depend on factors which are unobservable to the agents and have to be estimated. With perfect information, the asset market would be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561557
directly contradicted by important insights from microeconomic theory and social psychology. At least two economic literatures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125964
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407551