This paper is intended to give some alternative positive suggestion on how to cope with the must of the cutting off the oil subsidy domestically. The problem that faced by the government is that the compensation fund will hardly enjoyed by the poor, and moreover it is hard to watch out the whole...

This paper constructs long-term forecasts of energy prices using a reduced form model of shifting trend developed by Pindyck (1999). A Gibbs sampling algorithm is developed to estimate models with a shifting trend line which are used to construct 10-period-ahead and 15-period ahead forecasts. An...

The years following the Second World War were those of the greatest economic growth that Europe had ever seen. If the countries of the Iberian Peninsula, neutral in the conflict and ruled by dictatorial regimes, enjoyed that growth and had participated in the convergence phenomenon, Ireland,...

El objetivo del estudio es identificar y aplicar el modelo de tres factores desarrollado por Fama y French. Se aplica, desde una perspectiva de serie temporal, para el mercado accionario español en el período de operación del mercado continuo, esto es, enero de 1990 a octubre de 1999. Los...

Several trading rules are analyzed using all daily returns on every Ibex future contracts, since market data from MEFF was available on April 20th, 1992 till March 31st, 2000. The analyses are: calendar anomalies and technical indicators based on moving averages. In an informal test, results are...

The model of Technical Analysis goes against the fulfillment of the weak form of the Hypothesis of Efficient Market raised by Fama (1970). Nevertheless, recently some studies provide evidence with probable prediction of the expected returns based on the past returns. In particular, the...