Showing 1 - 10 of 251
This work is focused on identifying a circular pull production control system (PPCS) and make emphasis on the presence of a stability attribute. It is an introductory paper to an extended study of macroeconomic financial stability in a physically open but systemic closed system. Previous work...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126234
We present a simple model of a stock market where a random communication structure between agents gives rise to a heavy tails in the distribution of stock price variations in the form of an exponentially truncated power-law, similar to distributions observed in recent empirical studies of high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134800
Not so much and we should not, at least not yet.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126213
In this paper we propose a simple model to forecast industrial production in Italy. We show that the forecasts produced using the model outperform some popular forecasts as well as those stemming from a trading days- and outlier-robust ARIMA model used as a benchmark. We show that the use of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556310
This paper examines the problem of appropriately specifying and estimating the money demand function in the presence of adaptive expectations and partial adjustment mechanisms. The paper demonstrates the difficulty of interpreting distributed lag reduced form representations of the monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076678
We examine whether a simple agent--based model can generate asset price bubbles and crashes of the type observed in a series of laboratory asset market experiments beginning with the work of Smith, Suchanek and Williams (1988). We follow the methodology of Gode and Sunder (1993, 1997) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076911
Through explicitly incorporating analysts' forecasts as observable factors in a dynamic arbitrage- free model of the yield curve, this paper proposes a framework for studying the impact of shifts in market sentiment on interest rates of all maturities. An empirical examination reveals that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076986
In the Domain of Development Economics, Productivity is represented by Output to Input Ratio & Management Decisions related to the Inputs and Outputs ensures to keep this ratio in a favourable condition. When this is integrated with a Broad-Scope of Socio-Economic Development (SED). Qualitative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005077079
Using data from the Business Surveys Unit of the European Commission, this paper examines how, and how accurately, people assess economic systems. As expected, respondents demonstrate to know their own situation better than the system wide one, and the past better than the future. Also,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125017
One of the most striking results in experimental economics is the ease with which market bubbles form in a laboratory setting and the difficulty of preventing them. This article re-examines bubble experiments in light of the results of an earlier series of market experiments that examine how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125589