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Credit risk models like Moody’s KMV are now well established in the market and give bond managers reliable estimates of default probabilities for individual firms. Until now it has been hard to relate those probabilities to the actual credit spreads observed on the market for corporate bonds....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005077017
on the specification of the volatility structure of forward rates. Thus, if any errors exist on the observed yield curve … affine example using eight years of data on U.S. dollar LIBOR/swap rates and interest rate caps. The model performs well in … the cap implied volatility. Incorporating the three residual factors improves the explained variance in cap implied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134665
and numerically show that the risk-neutral expected value of the return variance, also known as the variance swap rate, is … between the realized variance and this synthetic variance swap rate quantifies the variance risk premium. Using a large … options data set, we synthesize variance swap rates and investigate the historical behavior of variance risk premia on five …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413197
approach is applied to estimate the volatility structure implied by futures contracts traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413218
According to the Mixture of Distributions Hypothesis (MDH), returns volatility and trading volume are driven by a …) volatility and trading volume changes in different financial markets. An implication is that returns volatility in one stock … market should show positive and contemporaneous correlation with returns volatility in another stock market. This paper tests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407887
Volatility of financial markets is an important topic for academics, policy makers and market participants. In this … these specifications. Then assuming that the squared returns are the benchmark estimate for actual volatility of the day, I … compare all of the models with respect to how much efficient they are to mimic the realized volatility. At the same time I …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556286
Theoretical study identifying one modality with conditions necesary for the financial stabilization of an inherently unstable system; and 5040 other unstable dynamic modes. It draws on knowledge made available by the academic field of Control Engineering.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125628
In this paper, we survey a wide range of theoretical and empirical papers on derivatives markets to address the information contents of trading activities in derivatives markets. Both theoretical and empirical research on options market and futures market indicate that the presence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413117
In this paper we propose a jump diffusion type model which recovers the main characteristics of electricity spot price dynamics, including seasonality, mean reversion, and spiky behavior. Calibration of the market price of risk allows for pricing of Asian-type options written on the spot...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119166
The method proposed in this chapter is making use of the bispectrum transformation to estimate the level of integration of a fractionally integrated time series. Bispectrum ransformation transforms the series into a two dimensional frequency space, and thus has higher information content...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407981