Showing 1 - 10 of 141
We address the issue of modeling spot electricity prices with regime switching models. After reviewing the stylized facts about power markets we propose and fit various models to spot prices from the Nordic power exchange. Afterwards we assess their performance by comparing simulated and market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119074
In this paper we propose a jump diffusion type model which recovers the main characteristics of electricity spot price dynamics, including seasonality, mean reversion, and spiky behavior. Calibration of the market price of risk allows for pricing of Asian-type options written on the spot...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119166
In this paper we estimate the business telecommunications demands for local,intra-LATA and inter-LATA services, using US data from a Bill Harvesting (R) survey carried out during 1997. We model heterogeneity, which is present among firms due to a variety of different business telecommunication...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119160
The current population in the World has grown beyond the Break-even level of the food supplies, water, clothing and shelter. Techno- commercial systems are also within the utility of developed nations, but beyond the infrastructure and mental orientation of the Developing and Under Developed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119190
. Using a novel methodology grounded in theory, the ten sub-components of the consumer price index (excluding mortgage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062419
This paper aims to evaluate the trade potential of manufactured products between the members of the EU25 in the threshold of its Eastern enlargement. We estimate, for 2002, a cross-section gravity model, whose coefficients will be used to project the “natural” trade relations between them....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062628
Credit risk models like Moody’s KMV are now well established in the market and give bond managers reliable estimates of default probabilities for individual firms. Until now it has been hard to relate those probabilities to the actual credit spreads observed on the market for corporate bonds....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005077017
We build a 4-equation model of the inflation process in South Africa (which has recently adopted inflation targeting), including the exchange rate, consumer prices, producer price, and import prices. This provides useful information on the speed and extent of exchange rate pass- through, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556034
national accounts, and of stochastic equations, consistent with economic theory as well as institutional and constitutional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556377
The standard Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) approach to investigating the underlying dynamics of economic variables assumes a constant co-integration space. This paper relaxes this assumption by implementing a regime switching VECM that allows for shifts in both the drift and the long-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556387