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Dynamic term structure models (DTSMs) price interest rate derivatives based on the model­ implied fair values of the yield curve, ignoring any pricing residuals on the yield curve that are either from model approximations or market imperfections. In contrast, option pricing in practice often...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134665
We investigate whether the same finite dimensional dynamic system spans both interest rates (the yield curve) and interest rate options (the implied volatility surface). We find that the options market exhibits factors independent of the underlying yield curve. While three common factors are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134877
This paper considers a class of Heath-Jarrow-Morton (1992) term structure models, characterized by time deterministic volatilities for the instantaneous forward rate. The bias that arises from using observed futures yields as a proxy for the unobserved instantaneous forward rate is analyzed. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413218
market prices of risk, with forecasted GDP growth playing a dominant role. The estimated coe±cients from a forward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076986
This paper investigates the performance of international affine term structure models (ATSMs) that are driven by a mutual set of global state variables. We discuss which mixture of Gaussian and square root processes is best suited for modelling international bond markets. We derive necessary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134688
We identify and characterize a class of term structure models where bond yields are quadratic functions of the state vector. We label this class the quadratic class and aim to lay a solid theoretical foundation for its future empirical application. We consider asset pricing in general and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134735
We derive discrete markov chain approximations for continuous state equilibrium term structure models. The states and transition probabilities of the markov chain are chosen effciently according to a quadrature rule as in Tauchen and Hussey (1991). Quadrature provides a simple yet method which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134854
rates that incorporates regime-switching into the dynamics ofthe state variables. The model generates time-varying risk … returns, (ii) nominal term premia,and (iii) the inflation risk premia linking real and nominal yields with expected inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413101
sources of risk. One dynamic factor controls the level of the interest rate and follows a special two-parameter square …-root process under the risk-neutral measure. The two parameters of the process determine the other two sources of risk and act as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413120
We consider the design and estimation of quadratic term structure models. We start with a list of stylized facts on interest rates and interest rate derivatives, classified into three layers: (1) general statistical properties, (2) forecasting relations, and (3) conditional dynamics. We then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413240