This note looks ata the correlation of short-term business cycles in the euro area and the Eu accession countries. This issue is assessed with the help of vector autoregressive models. There are clear differences in the degree of correlation between acces-sion countries. For Hungary and...

We use a dynamic heterogeneous panel model to estimate real equilibrium exchange rates for advanced transition countries. Our method is based on out-of-sample estimations from middle-income and high-income countries, and we use a pooled mean group estimator. We find that exchange rates have...

We assess the correlation of supply and demand shocks between current countries in the euro area and EU accession candidates from 1993/1995 to 2002. Supply and demand shocks are recovered from estimated structural VAR models of output growth and inflation. Notably, the economic slowdown between...