This paper documents a new stylized fact of the U.S. greater macroeconomic stability of the last two decades or so. Using 131 monthly time series, three popular statistical methods and the forecasts of the Federal Reserve's Green book and the Survey of Professional Forecasters, we show that the...

This paper models an inflation forecast density framework that closely resembles actual policy makers behaviour regarding the determination of the modal point, the uncertainty and asymmetry in the inflation forecasts. The framework combines policy makers prior information about these parameters...

From the 1950s to the mid-seventies, Iceland’s efforts in international diplomacy were largely devoted to convincing other nations that Icelanders should control and utilise the resources of the waters within 12, then 50 and finally 200 nautical miles around the island. During the last quarter...

In the standard moral hazard model, withholding of effort by the agent is not observable to the principal. We argue that this assumption has to be changed in applications that study corruption. The overwhelming majority of cases where corrupt politicians have been punished involve the detection...

A presente comunicação preparada para o III Congresso de Trás-os-Montes e Alto Douro, que decorreu em Setembro de 2002. Nesta comunicação visa- se identificar novas actividades empresariais, em emergência, que possam resultar da dinamização de uma área de enorme potencialidade na...

A presente comunicação preparada para o III Congresso de Trás-os-Montes e Alto Douro, que decorreu em Setembro de 2002. Nesta comunicação visa- se identificar novas actividades empresariais, em emergência, que possam resultar da dinamização de uma área de enorme potencialidade na...

The diffusion of health care technology is influenced by both the total market share of managed care organizations as well as the level of competition among them. This paper differentiates between HMO penetration and competition and examines their relationship to the adoption of cardiac...

In a model of sequential patent races, it is examined whether or not introducing a patent law in the home country is beneficial to the firms and the society as a whole given the foreign country already offers patent protection. Before the first patent race starts, the firms and the foreign...

When the home country introduces a patent law after the winner of the patent race is known the country's welfare may rise only if the domestic firm wins. If the home country decides before the patent race ends, the welfare may be increased when the probability that the domestic firm wins is...

El presente documento realiza un análisis del negocio del Gas Natural en Bolivia y de sus posibles impactos en las recaudaciones, exportaciones y el Producto Interno Bruto. Las principales conclusiones sugieren que, el sector de hidrocarburos se perfila como uno de los pilares para el...