This paper presents a first step towards a new theory of housing market fluctuations. We develop a life-cycle model … documented in the data. Our theory asserts that the fluctuations in housing prices depend crucially on fluctuations in the …

The paper offers a new explanation for the cause of the Great Inflation by constructing a model that explicitly … separates the roles of government and monetary policymakers. A mechanism that inflation can accelerate even if an inflation … target is low is uncovered. The model solves the puzzle of the observed high inflation target during the Great Inflation and …

This paper analyses the role of inflation expectations in the euro area. On one hand, the question is how inflation … expectations affect both inflation and output, and, on the other hand, how inflation expectations reflect developments in these … variables. The analyses make use of a simple VAR model of inflation, inflation expectations and the output gap that allows for …

This paper shows the way how persistent world inflation shocks hitting a small open economy can re-weight the … inflation. We derive a state-dependent Phillips curve based on translog preferences that make the elasticity of substitution of … disinflation on domestic inflation, as experienced in small open economies such as New Zealand, Chile and Peru. …

This paper surveys and examines the sources of fluctuations in inflation and output in Turkey. Using a dynamic open … indicate that inflation is driven by monetary and real demand disturbances while output is mainly driven by aggregate supply … disturbances. The historical decomposition shows that a substantial portion of inflation is aggregate demand-driven core inflation …

decompose inflation and output movements into those attributable to terms of trade, supply, balance-of-payments, fiscal, and … monetary shocks. Empirical results show that terms of trade shocks have a significant negative effect on inflation in the short …