Recently, many economists have credited the late-1990s economic boom in the United States for the easy money policies of the Federal Reserve. On the other hand, observers have noted that very low interest rates have had very little positive effect on the chronically weak Japanese economy....

This paper develops and estimates an unobserved components model for purposes of monetary policy analysis and inflation targeting in a small open economy. Cyclical components are modeled as a multivariate linear rational expectations model of the monetary transmission mechanism, while trend...

This paper develops and estimates an unobserved components model for purposes of monetary policy analysis in a closed economy. Cyclical components are modeled as a multivariate linear rational expectations model of the monetary transmission mechanism, while trend components are modeled as...

Dear Sir or Madam: I am a scholar of macroeconomics, and now studying at the school of economics of Peking University in PRC. Although there is much to do to develop the education, academicians and students are active thinkers and raised many interesting questions. I followed some of the issue...

This paper discusses techniques for estimating structural vector autoregressions. Especially when monetary policy shocks are estimated, VAR residuals turn out to be leptokurtic. It is argued that this is no coincidence but follows directly from the properties of monetary policy decisions. The...

In the present paper we explicitly introduce interest payments and debt into a Kaleckian distribution and growth model with an investment function very close to Kalecki’s original writings. The effects of interest rate variations on the short-run equilibrium values of capacity utilisation,...

This book focuses on general theory of price. Price, wage, interest rate, GNP and exchange rate, five factors, are very important not only in economics and economical activity, but also in social and political life. Those five factors are concrete, but also abstract. They belong to different...

In this paper, we begin the modeling of bond and currency prices from the modeling of the state-price density satisfying basic properties of a potential. We provide extensive examples and show their implications on bond and currency pricing. Most classic short rate models are special cases of...

The paper provides a theory of interest rates determination in the informal credit market in backward agriculture highlighting the interactions between two informal sector lenders (a professional moneylender and a trader-interlocker) and explains the prevalence of different interest rates in the...

The paper provides a theory of interest rates determination in the informal credit market in backward agriculture highlighting the interactions between two informal sector lenders (a professional moneylender and a trader-interlocker) and explains the prevalence of different interest rates in the...