In this paper we compare market prices of credit default swaps with model prices. We show that a simple reduced form model with a constant recovery rate outperforms the market practice of directly comparing bonds' credit spreads to default swap premiums. We find that the model works well for...

Economists often perceive the “ideological beliefs“ held by political actors as obstacles to rational policy-making. In contrast, it is argued that ideologies have characteristics that appear desirable in policy- making in that they allow political actors to credibly commit themselves to...

The literature on corporate credit risk modeling for privately-held firms is scarce. Although firms with unlisted equity or debt represent a significant fraction of the corporate sector worldwide, research in this area has been hampered by the unavailability of public data. This study is an...

„h Contrary to common perceptions, most Australian businesses survive for a considerable time ¡V for example, around two¡Vthirds of businesses are still operating after five years and almost one¡Vhalf are still operating after ten years. „h Around 7.5 per cent of businesses exit each year...

Die Prognose, ob ein Unternehmen fortbestehen wird oder nicht, hat weitreichende Konsequenzen für Eigentümer, Gläubiger und Arbeitnehmer der Gesellschaft. In Abhängigkeit von dem Prognoseergebnis sind das Vermögen und die Schulden in der Bilanz und in einem etwaigen Überschuldungsstatus...

Eine positive Fortbestehensprognose eines Unternehmens beinhaltet eine mit überwiegender Wahrscheinlichkeit erwartete nachhaltige Zahlungsfähigkeit. In dem Beitrag „Die Fortbestehensprognose – Rechtliche Anforderungen und ihre betriebswirtschaftlichen Grundlagen“ der Verfasser in WPg...