Showing 1 - 10 of 59
Classical parametric estimation methods applied to nonlinear regression and limited-dependent-variable models are very sensitive to misspecification and data errors. This sensitivity is addressed by the theory of robust statistics which builds upon parametric specification, but provides...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556311
A two-block open economy model is estimated in this paper using Australian and U.S. data. Evaluation of the estimated model is carried out in relation to a simple closed economy alternative. Namely, we inspect the implied transmission mechanisms, and examine the relative out-of-sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125001
This paper re-examines the empirical evidence on the price puzzle and proposes a new theoretical interpretation. Using structural VARs and two different identification strategies based on zero restrictions and sign restrictions, we find that the positive response of price to a monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126381
According to the Mixture of Distributions Hypothesis (MDH), returns volatility and trading volume are driven by a …) volatility and trading volume changes in different financial markets. An implication is that returns volatility in one stock … market should show positive and contemporaneous correlation with returns volatility in another stock market. This paper tests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407887
-parametric regression approach to next-day volatility forecasting. A second finding is that the GARCH(1,1) model severely over-estimated the … unconditional variance leads to poor volatility forecasts during the period under discussion with the MSE of GARCH(1,1) 1-year ahead … volatility more than 4 times bigger than the MSE of a forecast based on historical volatility. We test and reject the hypothesis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407908
This study examines the statistical properties of volatility. Fractal dimension, probability distribution and two …-point volatility correlation are used to measure and compare volatility among six different markets for the 12-year period from Jan. 1 … different in their resistance to volatility : Tokyo has a higher ability to dissipate volatility. This phenomenon implies that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407911
Volatility plays an important role in the explanation of prices of securities and their derivatives as well as risk … problem of volatility should not be underestimated for the causes of lack of the making in the order book. The introduction of … not seem even so important. We test in this paper the conditional volatility of a certain number of securities considered …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413037
the arrival rates of trades and trade composition on market volatility, liquidity and depth. We find that although … volatility increases with the forecasted arrival rates of total trades, it is relatively independent of the forecasted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413104
return and volatility equations. When using the GARCH (1,1) specification only for the return equation and the Modified …-GARCH (1,1) specification for both the return and volatility equations, findings indicate that the day of the week effect is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413108
a proportionality constant which is comparable to the spot rate volatility. This suggests that forward rate market … prices include a risk premium, comparable to the probable changes of the spot rate between now and maturity, which can be … understood as a `Value-at-Risk' type of pricing. The instantaneous FRC however departs from a simple square-root law. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413172