We provide maximum likelihood estimators of term structures of conditional probabilities of bankruptcy over relatively long time horizons, incorporating the dynamics of firm-specific and macroeconomic covariates. We find evidence in the U.S. industrial machinery and instruments sector, based on...

We provide maximum likelihood estimators of term structures of conditional probabilities of bankruptcy over relatively long time horizons, incorporating the dynamics of firm-specific and macroeconomic covariates. We find evidence in the U.S. industrial machinery and instruments sector, based on...

In order to forecast one-step ahead volatility, we calculated jump intensity by using estimated parameters of a duration model of price change. In this procedure, we do not assume any distribution on log-return. Although we do not make any distributional assumption, we may practically choose a...

I develop a matching model with heterogeneous workers, firms, and worker-firm matches, and apply it to longitudinal linked data on employers and employees. Workers vary in their marginal product when employed and their value of leisure when unemployed. Firms vary in their marginal product and...

The Harris-Todaro model is reinterpreted under an evolutionary game approach, including the behavior of migrants under bounded rationality in a process of imitation or learning. A first feature is an improvement upon Harris-Todaro by replacing the sign-preserving function of the adjustment...

In employment agreements, alternatives arise over time for either party that threaten the survival of the particular match between the worker and the firm. This paper focuses on one side of this issue, namely the optimal response by an employer to a threatened unilateral termination of an...

We consider the problem of consistent estimation of nonlinear models with mismeasured explanatory variables, when marginal information on the true values of these variables is available. The marginal distribution of the true variables is used to identify the distribution of the measurement...

The objective of this paper is to evaluate the effect of the 1985 “Employment Services for Ex-Offenders†(ESEO) program on recidivism. Initially, the sample has been split randomly in a control group and a treatment group. However, the actual treatment (mainly being job related...

This paper uses a dataset collected among inhabitants of Amsterdam, to study the employment effects of the use of cannabis and cocaine. For females no negative effects of drug use on the employment rate are found. For males there is a negative relationship between past cannabis and cocaine use...

We investigate the effect of publicly released announcements upon trade frequency using high frequency banking stocks from the Australian Stock Exchange and the Autoregressive Conditional Hazard (ACH) model of Hamilton and Jorda (2000). Unlike the ACD model, which models the timing of events,...