Showing 1 - 10 of 16
One of the key inputs for inflation targeting regime is the right identification of inflationary or disinflationary … gap an inflation rate (Phillips Curve) and structural restrictions over output stochastic dynamics. The estimation is … problems and exhibits more relation with the Peruvian inflation process than other estimates, calculated with the Hodrick …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005699611
This paper presents some new estimates for the relationship between inflation and unemployment in Brazil based on a new … important factor in explaining the high persistence (inertia) of Brazilian inflation; iii) inflation does have an autonomous … inertial component, without linkage to shocks in individual markets; iv) a non-linear relationship between inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005699614
In this paper, we examine whether industry-level forecasts of CPI and PPI inflation can be improved using the … a two or three equation system involving CPI and PPI inflation where the effects of the exchange rate and import prices … time series models, as well as with a model that, in addition, includes standard control variables for inflation, like …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702549
, while those using GMM have reported the inflation dynamics to be predominantly forward-looking. This paper provides a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702637
The effects of inflation on real wage dispersion and welfare are studied in a cash-in-advance economy with a Walrasian … workers search among the posted wages. In equilibrium, a higher inflation rate reduces the dispersion in real wages. This … result is consistent with both the observed trends in wage dispersion and the inflation rate witnessed in the 1980's and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702721
greatly redcues the prediction mean squared error of forecasts of U.S. CPI inflation at horizons of one month and one year …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342193
This paper develops a model which can explain the hump-shaped impulse response of inflation to a monetary shock. A …). Nevertheless, we can show that inflation is hump-shaped under a reasonable range of parameters. It will be also shown that, in … order for inflation to be hump-shaped, sticky wages and variable capital utilization are important as well as dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342361
This study examines the dynamics associated with an economy implementing an Exchange Rate Based Stabilization (ERBS) programs when they are subject to sudden restrictions in international capital flows. In the context of a simple theoretical model, we describe the pressures on a country's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342385
Forecasting inflation remains an intriguing research topic among academics and practitioners alike. Recent studies by … or other macroeconomic and financial variables for the purpose of forecasting inflation. In particular, it is found that … Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) for forecasting inflation. Based upon the idea of model averaging, the BACE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063687
particular, Argentina, Bolivia, Peru, Russia, and Ukraine remained highly dollarized long after the inflation rate was reduced to … economies that higher inflation has a negative impact on output and financial intermediation, that dollarization and capital … dollarization hysteresis paradox and several other stylized facts. The key link between inflation, dollarization, and capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005129775