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The main goal of this paper is to tackle the empirical issues of the real exchange rate litterature by applying recently developed panel cointegration techniques to a structural long-run real exchange rate equation. We consider here a sample of 45 developing countries, divided into three groups...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063741
Empirical evidence shows that macroeconomic fundamentals have little explana-tory power for nominal exchange rates. On the other hand, the recent “microstruc-ture approach to exchange rates” has shown that most exchange rate volatility at short to medium horizons is related to order flows....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328945
We develop an equilibrium model in which exchange rates, stock prices and capital flows are jointly determined under incomplete forex risk trading. Incomplete hedging of forex risk, documented for U.S. global mutual funds, has three important implications: 1) exchange rates are almost as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005329018
ABSTRACT This study re-examines the exchange rate-monetary fundamentals link with in a panel data framework. Pure time series and pooled time series-based tests fail to find empirical support for monetary exchange rate models (Sarantis (1994) and Groen (2000)). Using recently developed Panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005086422
controversies surrounding the exchange rate forecastability and the absence of money in models of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328935
By placing store-level price data into bivariate Structural VAR models of inflation and relative price asymmetry, this … forecast error variance in inflation at the 12-month horizon. While the contemporaneous correlation between inflation and … relative price asymmetry is positive, idiosyncratic shocks lead to a substantial build-up in inflation only after two to five …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328852
In this paper, we study the statistical relationship between money and prices in Argentina during the last quarter of the 20th century. We first look at the unit root characteristics of the series which suggest dividing the whole sample into two sub-samples: 1976 to 1989 and 1991 to 2001, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328862
sub indexes’ inflation dynamics indicate that the exchange rate pass-through in the perfectly competitive sector is … sector. Also, that inflation inertia is lower in the former than in the latter; adding up in more volatility of the perfectly … competitive inflation rate. For policy makers an interesting feature of the perfectly competitive price index is that the evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328869
This paper develops a model which can explain the hump-shaped impulse response of inflation to a monetary shock. A …). Nevertheless, we can show that inflation is hump-shaped under a reasonable range of parameters. It will be also shown that, in … order for inflation to be hump-shaped, sticky wages and variable capital utilization are important as well as dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342361
Forecasting inflation remains an intriguing research topic among academics and practitioners alike. Recent studies by … or other macroeconomic and financial variables for the purpose of forecasting inflation. In particular, it is found that … Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) for forecasting inflation. Based upon the idea of model averaging, the BACE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063687