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In this paper we consider different periodic extensions of regression models with autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average disturbances for the analysis of daily spot prices of electricity. We show that day-of-the-week periodicity and long memory are important determinants for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063668
, Singapore, Taiwan and Korea, on the other hand, based on Hacker and Hatemi-J (2003) bootstrap causality tests with leveraged …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063637
gauge volatility comovement, we employ econometric models of (i) Univariate GARCH (ii) Vector Autoregression and (iii) a … Multivariate and Asymmetric Multivariate GARCH model with GJR extensions. The empirical results indicate that there is a high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063749
In applied econometric literature, the causal inferences are often made based on highly temporally aggregated or systematically sampled data. A number of theoretical studies have pointed out that temporal aggregation has distorting effects on causal inference and systematic sampling preserves...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063635
We argue that cross-country convergence of output per capita should be examined in a fractional-integration time-series context and we propose a new empirical strategy to test it, which is the first one that discriminates between fractional long-run convergence and fractional catching-up. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702532
In this paper we investigate portfolio coskewness using a quadratic market model as return generating process. It is shown that portfolios of small (large) firms have negative (positive) coskewness with market. An asset pricing model including coskewness is tested through the restrictions it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328981
We introduce continuous-time models that capture the salient features of the short-term interest rate and remain tractable for asset pricing applications. We extend classical specifications within and outside of the affine class to multi-factor settings with latent variables that are readily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063579
and curvature in the yield curve. We model the volatility dynamics in these yield factors using both GARCH and level … that the GARCH-based volatility of the short-rate is negatively related to future interest rates and positively related to …'s fit. Interestingly, the level effect is strengthened and the GARCH effects is weakened somewhat. The Bayesian information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702565
In this paper, we relate security returns in the thirty securities in the Dow Jones index to regime shifts in the market portfolio (S&P500) volatility. We model market volatility as a multiple-state Markov switching process of order one and estimate non-diversifiable security risk (beta) in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005130158
on the foreign exchange market. By high-frequency methodology, GARCH estimation and variance-ratio tests, the existence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342336