Showing 1 - 10 of 32
This paper proposes a new empirical representation of US inflation expectations in a Stace-Space Markov …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005086423
little response in the inflation rate. Such instances, while casting doubt on the tradeoff implied by the linear Phillips … curve, are also associated with large inflation forecasting errors. In principle, these movements are consistent with a … relationship against a simple linear specification, and compare dynamic and static out of sample forecasts of inflation across …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702566
This paper presents some new estimates for the relationship between inflation and unemployment in Brazil based on a new … important factor in explaining the high persistence (inertia) of Brazilian inflation; iii) inflation does have an autonomous … inertial component, without linkage to shocks in individual markets; iv) a non-linear relationship between inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005699614
of a variety of aggregate quantities: business cycle fluctuations, inventories, inflation, medium or long run movements …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342206
Empirical evidences tell us that in the recent years the expansion period is increased with reduction of the contraction period in the U.S. business cycles. Moreover, the business cycles in the United States also show the trend to be moderated with recent economic growth induced and supported by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342274
Standard theory of small open economies predicts a smooth path for consumption and investment over time, and procyclical current account balances and employment. This contrasts with the data for emerging countries, where consumption, investment and employment are highly procyclical and volatile,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005129792
The paper examines the processes underlying economic fluctuations by investigating the volatility moderation of U.S. economy in the early 1980's. We decompose the volatility decline using a dynamic factor framework into a common stochastic trend, common transitory component and idiosyncratic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005130191
I examine the statistical model of permanent and transitory shocks to output under the following structural assumptions: An aggregate supply shock that raises output will cause the price level to fall and an aggregate demand shock that initially raises output will cause the price level to rise....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005130221
This paper develops a computable dynamic general equilibrium model in which corporate demand for liquidity is endogenously determined. In the model liquidity demand is motivated by moral hazard as in Holmstrom and Tirole (1998). As a result of incorporating agency cost and endogenously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063751
The high real wage story is one of the leading hypotheses for how deflation caused the International Great Depression. The story is that world-wide deflation, combined with incomplete nominal wage adjustment, raised real wages in a number of countries, and these higher real wages reduced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005170273