In this paper we study the question of debt sustainability from a risk management perspective. The debt accumulation equation for any country involves variables that are stochastic and closely intertwined. When these aspects are taken into consideration the notion of debt sustainability is...

This paper examines the welfare implications of managing Q with inflation targeting by monetary authorities who have to "learn" the laws of motion for both inflation and the rate of growth of Q. Our results show that the Central Bank can achieve great success in reducing the volatility of GDP...

This paper studies a plausible connection among rational speculators, exchange rate volatility and capital controls. When Krugman (1999) asserted that there should be appropriate controls on international capital movements to avoid currency volatilities from speculative activities, this paper...

This paper models the dynamics of the adjustment process of Indonesian purchasing power parity (PPP) relative to US, Japan and Singapore by employing a nonlinear framework, which is recently shown to be appropriate in the presence of transaction costs associated with international trade. Using...

In this paper we review the main features of the Chilean-Style of capital controls during the nineties. In particular, we analyze empirically the effectiveness of the unremunerated reserve requirement (URR) in three key areas: its capacity to open space for monetary policy, its influence on the...

Empirical evidence against both risk-sharing across countries and the uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) condition have been extensively documented. This paper investigates the empirical implications of imperfectly integrated financial markets resulting from these two issues. Under this asset...