This paper develops a simple two-country, two-good model, in which the real exchange rate, stock and bond prices are jointly determined. The model predicts that stock market prices are correlated internationally even though their dividend processes are independent, providing a theoretical...

We examine Granger causality among the exchange rates of eight East Asian economies prior to the Asian crisis. We adopt as our general model Engle and Gau’s (1997) “official band†model, and use daily bilateral US dollar exchange rate data during January 1991-July 1997. Our...

This paper shows that the Mexican experience from 1945 to 2002 is, like the German hyperinflation period, a unique monetary ``natural experiment,'' where fundamental relationships, like money demand, PPP and the monetary model of exchange rate determination can be analyzed with unparalleled...

Empirical evidence shows that macroeconomic fundamentals have little explana-tory power for nominal exchange rates. On the other hand, the recent “microstruc-ture approach to exchange rates” has shown that most exchange rate volatility at short to medium horizons is related to order flows....

We present a new class of general equilibrium model to study exchange rate dynamics. Our model synthesizes the new micro and macro approaches by incorporating the micro foundations of asset market trading into a dynamic, two country general equilibrium setting. We use the model to study how...

We develop an equilibrium model in which exchange rates, stock prices and capital flows are jointly determined under incomplete forex risk trading. Incomplete hedging of forex risk, documented for U.S. global mutual funds, has three important implications: 1) exchange rates are almost as...

The purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis has attracted a lot of attention from academics and policy-makers particularly, during the recent float. Most previous studies used data from the developed world. This study examines the validity of the PPP hypothesis using data during the recent...

Previous analytical models focused on the effects of the real exchange rate (RER) and the RER volatility on Chinese aggregate exports. An important and related variable, the RER misalignment, has been hitherto omitted from the analysis. Yet this has been an issue of paramount importance facing...

I construct a micro-model to show that a currency crisis can spread from one country to another even when these countries are unrelated in terms of economic fundamentals and there is no capital linkage across countries through a common lender or an interbank market. The key to explaining...

Using the tick-by-tick yen/dollar exchange rate, this paper examines the effect of Japanese banking crisis in late 1997 on the foreign exchange market. By high-frequency methodology, GARCH estimation and variance-ratio tests, the existence of a structural break in the foreign exchange market at...