Showing 1 - 10 of 20
We analyze the properties of a bias-corrected realized variance (RV) in the presence of iid market microstructure noise. The bias correction is based on the first-order autocorrelation of intraday returns and we derive the optimal sampling frequency as defined by the mean squared error (MSE)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342264
autoregressive models. We suggest a likelihood ratio test for over-identification in a sub-system and derive the asymptotics for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702745
The implied signal extraction filters in unobserved components models depend on key signal-noise ratios. This paper examines how these ratios change with the observation interval. The analysis is based on continuous time models and is carried out for both stocks and flows. As a by-product, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342166
Recorded prices are known to diverge from their "efficient" values due to the presence of market microstructure contaminations. The microstructure noise creates a dichotomy in the model-free estimation of integrated volatility. While it is theoretically necessary to sum squared returns that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005129773
identification and estimation of VARMA models. This paper examines if VAR models are good enough for forecasting macroeconomic … variables. To answer this question, we extend the Tiao and Tsay identification procedure for VARMA models and proposes a … complete VARMA modelling procedure. We then examine the properties of this identification procedure through simulation and used …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342142
This lecture explores conditions under which there is identification of the impact on an outcome of exogenous variation … identification but set identification is possible if an additional covariation restriction is introduced. Relaxing other restrictions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342177
We show that even under incomplete markets, the equilibrium manifold identifies individual demands everywhere in their domains. For this, we assume conditions of smoothness, interiority and regularity, but avoid implausible observational requirements. It is crucial that there be date-zero...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005129781
In simultaneous equation (SE) contexts, nuisance parameter, weak instruments and identification problems severely … instrumental variable (IV) based criteria fails to achieve size control, especially (but not exclusively) under near non-identification …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005130223
This paper is about identification and estimation in a triangular nonparametric structural model with instrumental … variables and non-additive errors. Identification and estimation is based on a control function consisting of the conditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005130224
This paper aims at identifying the main shocks, which cause movements in real GNP. It does so by searching for two shocks in the context of a VAR model, which explain the majority of the k-step ahead prediction error variances in real GNP for horizons between 0 and 5 years. We find that two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005699655