This paper considers measures of uncertainty used in economic estimation. Our first contribution is to address the theoretical relationship between cross-section and time series measures, highlighting the reasons why these might diverge. In a subsequent empirical section, we compare measures of...

We develop an intuitive and easily implemented procedure to recover comparability over time of statistics computed using databases made incomparable by changes in survey design. Our methodology can be adopted whenever the statistic of interest satisfies a certain simple moment condition. The...

Under a sample selection or non-response problem where a response variable y is observed only when a condition δ=1 is met, the identified mean E(y|δ=1) is not equal to the desired mean E(y). But the monotonicity condition E(y|δ=1)≤E(y|δ=0) yields an informative bound...

Survey data frequently requires conversion from qualitative responses to quantitative series. A commonly cited criticism of the use of the survey data is that the conversion procedures incorporate measurement errors which render the series unusable. In this paper, we provide a novel contribution...

This paper formulates a model of dynamic, endogenous reform of political institutions. Specifically, a class of dynamic political games (DPGs) is introduced in which institutional choice is both recursive and instrumental. It is recursive because future political institutions are decided under...

We study a model of civil dispute with delegation in which a plaintiff's lawyer works on a contingent fee basis but a defendant's lawyer on an hourly fee basis. We first derive the conditions under which delegation to the lawyers brings both the plaintiff and defendant more payoffs, compared to...

In its standard “public choice” form, the mechanism-design framework abstracts from institutional and technological constraints beyond those that the modeler can represent in the definition of states, outcomes, and preferences. This abstraction can create a useful simplification. However,...

We conduct an event analysis on OPEC quota announcements to determine their impact on the stock returns in the oil industry. We find that announcements to reduce the quota are followed by positive excess returns over pre-announcement levels, announcements of no action are met with negative...

We investigate the implications of two properties, sustainability and exemption, when imposed separately in conjunction with other basic properties for the resolution of conflicting claims. Under the protective properties, agents with sufficiently small claims in relation to the others are fully...

In this paper, we propose the use of bootstrapping methods to obtain correct critical values for dating breaks. Following the procedure proposed in Banerjee, Lazarova and Urga (1998), we consider the case of estimating a system with two or more marginal processes and a conditional process....