Showing 1 - 10 of 146
This paper investigates causes of the recent sharp decline in the money multiplier in Japan from the bank side. Two candidates for the cause are examined: the first is the worsening of the banks’ financial soundness, and the second is the zero interest rate policy. Using panel data of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342358
We analyze the issue of the impact of multiple breaks on monetary neutrality results, using annual data on real output and monetary aggregates for Argentina (1884-1996), Australia (1870-1997), Brazil (1912-1995), Canada (1870-2001), Italy (1870-1997), Mexico (1932-2000), Sweeden (1871-1988), and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005699639
This paper surveys the postwar evolution of Bank of Japan (BOJ) monetary policy. Using both qualitative and quantitative data, we describe the changes in the money supply process in response to changing institutional constraints. We focus on the transition from quantitative to qualitative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342362
Using a nonlinear structural VAR approach, we estimate the effects of exogenous monetary policy shocks in the presence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063754
This paper develops a limiting theory for Wald tests of weak exogeneity in error correction models (ECMs). It is well known that Wald statistics on cointegrated systems may involve nonstandard distribution and nuisance parameters, if $I(1)$ variables are not negligible in the statistics. To...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005086413
constructing a VAR model that captures the economic interactions between leading indicators representing expectations, investments … causality tests. The VAR model is also used to derive the dynamic paths of adjustment of global chip sales in response to shocks … leading quality of the selected indicators. Finally, out-of-sample forecasts of global chip sales are generated from the VAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063677
shocks in the context of a VAR model, which explain the majority of the k-step ahead prediction error variances in real GNP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005699655
Observations of security prices and other financial time series usually include not only the close (C), but also an open, a high and a low (O,H,L) price for a specified interval. The multivariate vector of values (H,L,O,C) is obviously more informative than just the open or close (O, C) for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702551
The literature gives evidence that term spreads help predict output growth, inflation, and interest rates. This paper integrates and explains these predictability results by using an affine term structure model with observable macroeconomic factors. The results suggest that consumers are willing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005130246
I explore alternative central bank credit policies in a theoretical model where (i) money is necessary as a means of payment, (ii) there is a shortage of liquidity that a central bank addresses through the extension of credit, (iii) money is necessary to repay debts, and (iv) the incentives to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342194