Showing 1 - 10 of 11
We develop LM-tests of linearity that are consistent against a class of Compound Smooth Transition Autoregressive (CoSTAR) models of the conditional mean. Our method is an extension of the sup-test developed by Bierens (1990) and Bierens and Plobeger (1997), provides maximal power against...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063692
This paper analyzes nonlinear cointegrating regressions as have been recently analyzed in a paper by Park and Phillips in Econometrica. I analyze the consequences of removing Park and Phillips' exogeneity assumption, which for the special case of a linear model would imply the asymptotic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005699677
transition function and proposed the variable addition tests as the tests of linearity against smooth transition nonlinearity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702758
structure. The paper reports clear evidence of nonlinearity, in contrast to the affine term structure model and consistent with … recent claims in the literature. We find that there is a threshold effect of volatility on the interest rate but this effect … does not capture the entire nature of the nonlinearity. The quadratic term structure model recently proposed performs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342379
Decision theorists claim that an ordinal measure of risk may be sufficient for an agent to make a rational choice under uncertainty. We propose a measure of financial risk, namely the Varying Cross-sectional Risk (VCR), that is based on a ranking of returns. VCR is defined as the probability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328940
is shown that the nonstationarity of volatility in the regression errors may induce spuriousness of the underlying … nonstationary volatility is present in the errors. Mild nonstationary volatilities do not render the underlying regression spurious …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005086429
This paper investigates the effect of exchange rate volatility on US-UK bilateral trade flows. As part of econometric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063661
We examine the influence of global and regional factors on the conditional distribution of stock returns from six Asian markets, using factor models in which unexpected returns comprise global, regional and local shocks. The models allow for conditional heteroskedasticity and time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063746
Previous analytical models focused on the effects of the real exchange rate (RER) and the RER volatility on Chinese … dollar because the negative impacts of the revaluation, and its accompanying effects on the RER volatility, if any, on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342171
in volatility of the US auto sales after the introduction of smaller foreign cars in the 1970s …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328887