Showing 1 - 10 of 11
Decision theorists claim that an ordinal measure of risk may be sufficient for an agent to make a rational choice under uncertainty. We propose a measure of financial risk, namely the Varying Cross-sectional Risk (VCR), that is based on a ranking of returns. VCR is defined as the probability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328940
structure. The paper reports clear evidence of nonlinearity, in contrast to the affine term structure model and consistent with … recent claims in the literature. We find that there is a threshold effect of volatility on the interest rate but this effect … does not capture the entire nature of the nonlinearity. The quadratic term structure model recently proposed performs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342379
We develop LM-tests of linearity that are consistent against a class of Compound Smooth Transition Autoregressive (CoSTAR) models of the conditional mean. Our method is an extension of the sup-test developed by Bierens (1990) and Bierens and Plobeger (1997), provides maximal power against...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063692
This paper analyzes nonlinear cointegrating regressions as have been recently analyzed in a paper by Park and Phillips in Econometrica. I analyze the consequences of removing Park and Phillips' exogeneity assumption, which for the special case of a linear model would imply the asymptotic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005699677
transition function and proposed the variable addition tests as the tests of linearity against smooth transition nonlinearity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702758
in volatility of the US auto sales after the introduction of smaller foreign cars in the 1970s …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328887
volatility across different time scales. We call this property asymmetric vertical dependence. It is asymmetric in the sense that … a low volatility state (regime) at a long time horizon is most likely followed by low volatility states at shorter time … horizons. On the other hand, a high volatility state at long time horizons does not necessarily imply a high volatility state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005329008
Previous analytical models focused on the effects of the real exchange rate (RER) and the RER volatility on Chinese … dollar because the negative impacts of the revaluation, and its accompanying effects on the RER volatility, if any, on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342171
is shown that the nonstationarity of volatility in the regression errors may induce spuriousness of the underlying … nonstationary volatility is present in the errors. Mild nonstationary volatilities do not render the underlying regression spurious …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005086429
This paper investigates the effect of exchange rate volatility on US-UK bilateral trade flows. As part of econometric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063661