Showing 1 - 10 of 71
One way to interpret the current policies of many central banks is that they seek to stabilize economic activity. One possible justification for such a policy is that there is volatility in macro variables that individual agents cannot insure against. We study the simplest possible extension of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063772
welfare gain from eliminating business cycles can exceed the gain from increasing the long-term growth rate by 1% forever. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005328988
Various approaches to optimal monetary policy have been used to select time-invariant policy rules, including the timeless perspective approach by Woodford (1999) and the unconditional expected utility criterion of McCallum (2000). In this paper, we argue instead that policy rules should be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342320
Under a Bayesian framework of model uncertainty, closed economy models of monetary policy typically suggest that policy responses should be attenuated. Conversely, under a Knightian view of uncertainty, where the policymaker cannot specify probabilities across alternative models, intensifying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702534
This paper proposes a simple framework for analyzing a continuum of monetary policy rules characterized by differing degrees of credibility, in which commitment and discretion become special cases of what we call quasi commitment. The monetary policy authority is assumed to formulate optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702683
condition, called "global stability under uncertainty," implies a variety of results to the effect that the impact of higher …-order uncertainty is small. Our central result states that, under global stability, the maximum change in equilibrium strategies due to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005129808
epistemic foundations behind the fascinating idea of stability due to J. von Neumann and O. Morgenstern. The major features of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005130251
In this paper, we consider a dynamic New Keynesian model of the small open economy in the light of bounded rationality. This entails private agents and the central bank updating their beliefs about the laws of motion of inflation, the output gap and real exchange rate when forming their optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702553
In cross-country/cross-region multilateral consumer price level comparisons, differences in the mix of food items consumed in individual countries pose a major problem. Comparison of the level of prices of food items in two countries will be difficult, if the sets of food items consumed in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342148
The health status of individuals is of great importance not only because of the direct utility health can provide but because of productivity losses and large indirect costs, caused by ill-health, which places demands on already stretched health systems and family support networks. This is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342150